13% — Will Brock Bowers be the #1 ranked fantasy TE in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season Kalshi 13% · 14 contracts · $3K volume · medium confidence Updated 2026-09-21 12:59:59 UTC Why this matters: This probability reflects the chance that Bowers finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season as the top-scoring tight end in fantasy football. At 17%, the market sees Bowers as a significant contender but not the favorite—substantially ahead of Loveland (5%) and Warren (4%), yet far below what would indicate clear favorite status. The current level likely reflects Bowers' performance trajectory since his 2024 draft selection and early career productivity against uncertainty about his offensive system, team circumstances, and competition from established veterans. The season begins in September 2026, making actual on-field performance over the next several weeks the primary catalyst that will resolve this question. Weeks 1-4 will provide meaningful data on target share, red-zone usage, and scoring pace relative to the TE field. Key factors: - Bowers' target volume and red-zone opportunity share through early weeks of the 2026-27 season versus other elite TE options - Injuries to Bowers or competing tight ends (especially higher-probability candidates not listed separately in these contracts) - His NFL team's offensive system, quarterback play, and overall offensive productivity in 2026 - Whether a veteran tight end significantly outperforms early expectations or a peer surges in targets and scoring - Cumulative fantasy points scored by Bowers compared to the TE field by season's end, measured through standard fantasy scoring Contracts: - Will MIN Vikings D/ST be the #1 ranked fantasy DST in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: MIN Vikings D/ST — 7¢ Kalshi $538 (weight 21%) - Will Amon-Ra St. Brown be the #1 ranked fantasy WR in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: Amon-Ra St. Brown — 14¢ Kalshi $396 (weight 16%) - Will Josh Allen be the #1 ranked fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: Josh Allen — 42¢ Kalshi $377 (weight 15%) - Will Bijan Robinson be the #1 ranked fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: Bijan Robinson — 8¢ Kalshi $272 (weight 11%) - Will Dalton Kincaid be the #1 ranked fantasy TE in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: Dalton Kincaid — 3¢ Kalshi $231 (weight 9%) - Will Tucker Kraft be the #1 ranked fantasy TE in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: Tucker Kraft — 5¢ Kalshi $188 (weight 7%) - Will Caleb Williams be the #1 ranked fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: Caleb Williams — 12¢ Kalshi $117 (weight 5%) - Will Mark Andrews be the #1 ranked fantasy TE in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: Mark Andrews — 5¢ Kalshi $101 (weight 4%) - ... and 6 more --- ## Methodology SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours. ## SF Signal - SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration. - No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only. --- *Last verified: 2026-09-21T11:20:53.737Z* By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/ Cite as: "13% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, September 2026)" Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/nflffleader Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Brock%20Bowers%20be%20the%20%231%20ranked%20fantasy%20TE%20in%20the%202026-27%20Pro%20Football%20regular%20season Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev