25% — Will Ashton Jeanty record 750+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season
Kalshi 25% · 18 contracts · $525 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-08-27 08:09:12 UTC

Why this matters:
This market asks whether Ashton Jeanty will rush for at least 750 yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season, currently priced at 29% probability. Jeanty, a high-profile running back prospect, faces uncertainty around team context, offensive usage, and injury risk that affect his production ceiling. The threshold of 750 yards represents a meaningful but achievable target—well below elite 1,000-yard seasons but above average starter production. The probability reflects moderate skepticism about whether his team's offensive scheme and rushing volume will support that output. Key developments affecting this contract would include his team's quarterback situation, offensive line performance, and any changes to the backfield committee during the season. The resolution date is set for January 2027, when final regular-season statistics become official.

Key factors:
- Jeanty's team's rushing attempt volume and offensive line ranking relative to NFL average
- His workload share in a potential crowded backfield or role as primary starter
- Pre-season injury reports or changes to his team's offensive depth chart
- Offensive scheme efficiency metrics and yards-per-attempt performance through weeks 1-8
- Comparison of his actual touches per game against typical elite RB usage rates

Contracts:
- Will Saquon Barkley record 1000+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: Saquon Barkley — 59¢ Kalshi $301 (weight 57%)
- Will Jahmyr Gibbs record 1500+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: Jahmyr Gibbs — 18¢ Kalshi $66 (weight 13%)
- Will Ashton Jeanty record 1000+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: Ashton Jeanty — 25¢ Kalshi $36 (weight 7%)
- Will Jadarian Price record 1000+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: Jadarian Price — 33¢ Kalshi $35 (weight 7%)
- Will Cam Skattebo record 1000+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: Cam Skattebo — 10¢ Kalshi $23 (weight 4%)
- Will Omarion Hampton record 1000+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: Omarion Hampton — 24¢ Kalshi $20 (weight 4%)
- Will Chase Brown record 1000+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: Chase Brown — 26¢ Kalshi $12 (weight 2%)
- Will Jonathon Brooks record 750+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: Jonathon Brooks — 28¢ Kalshi $12 (weight 2%)
- ... and 10 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-08-27T07:21:46.923Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "25% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, August 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/nflseasonrshyds
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Ashton%20Jeanty%20record%20750%2B%20rushing%20yards%20during%202026-27%20Pro%20Football%20regular%20season
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev