13% — Will Detroit be the highest scoring team
Kalshi 13% · 8 contracts · $650 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-09-21 23:35:02 UTC

Why this matters:
This probability indicates a 39% chance that Detroit will score more points than all other teams in the relevant competition. The current level reflects Detroit's recent offensive output compared to competitors like Cincinnati (40% probability), New England (85% probability), and Atlanta (25% probability). Detroit's scoring probability would increase if recent games show offensive improvement or if key players return to full health, and would decrease if competing teams demonstrate stronger offensive performance. The resolution will depend on actual scoring data from upcoming games, with the specific event date and final matchup determining which team ultimately achieves the highest total.

Key factors:
- Detroit's current point-per-game average compared to Cincinnati, New England, and Atlanta across the most recent comparable period
- Roster availability and injury status of Detroit's key offensive players versus competitors
- Head-to-head offensive efficiency metrics and recent offensive trends for all four teams
- New England's substantially higher probability (85%) suggests significant offensive advantages that would need to shift for Detroit to become the highest scorer
- The contract pricing spread reflects market confidence levels, with Detroit at 5¢ versus New England at 85¢ indicating substantial perceived differences in scoring capability

Contracts:
- Will Chicago be the highest scoring team?: Chicago — 31¢ Kalshi $463 (weight 71%)
- Will Atlanta be the lowest scoring team?: Atlanta — 4¢ Kalshi $111 (weight 17%)
- Will Miami be the lowest scoring team?: Miami — 25¢ Kalshi $42 (weight 6%)
- Will Dallas be the highest scoring team?: Dallas — 5¢ Kalshi $25 (weight 4%)
- Will Cleveland be the lowest scoring team?: Cleveland — 24¢ Kalshi $9 (weight 1%)
- Will Baltimore be the highest scoring team?: Baltimore — 4¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Cincinnati be the highest scoring team?: Cincinnati — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Detroit be the highest scoring team?: Detroit — 7¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-09-21T23:20:52.892Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "13% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, September 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/nflteampts
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Detroit%20be%20the%20highest%20scoring%20team
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev