4% — The Dallas Pro Football Team allow 0 points in a single game Kalshi 4% · 20 contracts · $160 volume · medium confidence Updated 2026-08-10 07:34:31 UTC Why this matters: This probability represents the odds that the Dallas Cowboys hold their opponent to zero points in a single game during the 2026 NFL season. A shutout is an extremely rare defensive outcome in modern football, occurring roughly once per season across all 32 teams. The current 15% probability reflects both the historical rarity of shutouts and the Cowboys' defensive capabilities relative to offensive strength across the league. The probability would shift based on the quality of opposing offenses faced and the Cowboys' defensive performance as the season progresses. Uncertainty resolves throughout the 2026 season as games are played, with the outcome determined once either a shutout occurs or the season concludes without one. Key factors: - Shutouts occurred in approximately 4-8 games per NFL season historically, making zero points in a single game an extremely low-probability event statistically - The Dallas Cowboys' defensive ranking and ability to stop elite offensive weapons significantly influences whether this outcome is achievable - Schedule strength matters substantially—facing weak offenses early in the season increases shutout probability compared to facing playoff-caliber teams - Defensive injuries, particularly to key pass rushers or secondary players, would reduce the likelihood of achieving total offensive suppression - Weather conditions and game location can affect both offensive execution and defensive effectiveness in a single game Contracts: - Josh Allen records 100+ rushing yards in a single game?: Josh Allen records 100+ rushing yards in a single game — 9¢ Kalshi $100 (weight 63%) - Kyren Williams records 175+ rushing yards in a single game?: Kyren Williams records 175+ rushing yards in a single game — 3¢ Kalshi $19 (weight 12%) - J.J. McCarthy records 3+ passing touchdowns in a single game?: J.J. McCarthy records 3+ passing touchdowns in a single game — 3¢ Kalshi $16 (weight 10%) - Saquon Barkley records 225+ rushing yards in a single game?: Saquon Barkley records 225+ rushing yards in a single game — 3¢ Kalshi $14 (weight 9%) - De'Von Achane records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game?: De'Von Achane records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game — 21¢ Kalshi $10 (weight 6%) - Carson Beck records 1000+ passing yards?: Carson Beck records 1000+ passing yards — 5¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Jeremiyah Love records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game?: Jeremiyah Love records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Jeremiyah Love records 175+ rushing yards in a single game?: Jeremiyah Love records 175+ rushing yards in a single game — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - ... and 12 more --- ## Methodology SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours. ## SF Signal - SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration. - No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only. --- *Last verified: 2026-08-10T07:20:50.076Z* By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/ Cite as: "4% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, August 2026)" Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/nfltspec Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=The%20Dallas%20Pro%20Football%20Team%20allow%200%20points%20in%20a%20single%20game Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev