87% — NHL Playoffs
Leader: Team to advance to Conference Finals: Colorado Avalanche at 87% · Polymarket 87% · 7 contracts · $761 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 07:21:56 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 7 outcomes.

Why this matters:
This represents the aggregate view that the Carolina Hurricanes have a 97% chance of advancing to the Conference Finals in the current playoff round. The high probability reflects market confidence in their playoff position and performance relative to remaining opponents in their bracket. Key drivers include team health, recent performance trajectories, and matchup dynamics against potential second-round adversaries. The resolution hinges on the outcome of remaining playoff games in the Eastern Conference, which will occur over the next 1–3 weeks depending on series length and scheduling. Buffalo (67¢) and Colorado (88¢) are the next most-favored candidates, suggesting meaningful uncertainty remains despite Carolina's dominant pricing.

Key factors:
- Carolina's current playoff seeding and remaining opponents relative to other Eastern Conference teams
- Injury status of key players on Carolina and competing teams heading into each game
- Head-to-head historical performance and recent regular-season matchup results between Carolina and potential second-round opponents
- Buffalo's contract price (67¢) indicates material probability of upset; the gap between Buffalo and Carolina pricing suggests market assigns specific risk to that matchup
- Volume concentration ($82 on Carolina vs. $435 on Buffalo) shows lower trading activity on the frontrunner, potentially reflecting reduced hedging or arbitrage activity

Contracts:
- NHL Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals: Colorado Avalanche — 87¢ Polymarket $1 (weight 0%)
- NHL Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals: Vegas Golden Knights — 80¢ Polymarket $271 (weight 36%)
- NHL Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals: Montreal Canadiens — 50¢ Polymarket $232 (weight 30%)
- NHL Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals: Buffalo Sabres — 50¢ Polymarket $212 (weight 28%)
- NHL Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals: Anaheim Ducks — 49¢ Polymarket $46 (weight 6%)
- NHL Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals: Minnesota Wild — 14¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- NHL Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals: Philadelphia Flyers — 4¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)

Cite as: "87% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/nhl-playoffs
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=NHL%20Playoffs
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev