23% — Will Chase Reid be picked 3rd in the NHL Draft
Kalshi 23% · 13 contracts · $8K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 04:20:55 UTC

Why this matters:
This market estimates an 18% chance that Chase Reid will be selected 3rd overall in the NHL Draft. The probability reflects that Reid is considered a prospect in contention for an early first-round pick, but not the consensus third choice among NHL scouts and teams. The main factors supporting this probability are Reid's current standing in various pre-draft rankings and his performance metrics relative to other top prospects. The probability could shift based on changes in Reid's play, injuries to competing prospects, or new information from team scouts. The NHL Draft itself will resolve this contract, typically held in late June, which is when the actual draft order and selections occur. Until then, the market price reflects aggregated expectations about how teams will rank Reid among the available pool of elite prospects.

Key factors:
- Chase Reid's current ranking in major pre-draft consensus boards (NHL.com, aggregated scouts) relative to other top-3 candidates
- Reported interest from teams picking in the 3rd position, which can shift based on pro days, interviews, and private workouts
- Recent performance in league play or playoff tournaments that might impact his evaluation among scouts
- Injury status or any off-ice factors that could affect his draft position
- Competitor prospects' recent performances and trajectory changes that might alter the 3rd overall selection calculus

Contracts:
- Will Gavin McKenna be picked 1st in the NHL Draft?: Gavin McKenna — 74¢ Kalshi $7K (weight 88%)
- Will Gavin McKenna be picked 3rd in the NHL Draft?: Gavin McKenna — 4¢ Kalshi $268 (weight 3%)
- Will Caleb Malhotra be picked 2nd in the NHL Draft?: Caleb Malhotra — 4¢ Kalshi $260 (weight 3%)
- Will Ivar Stenberg be picked 2nd in the NHL Draft?: Ivar Stenberg — 53¢ Kalshi $178 (weight 2%)
- Will Caleb Malhotra be picked 3rd in the NHL Draft?: Caleb Malhotra — 19¢ Kalshi $109 (weight 1%)
- Will Chase Reid be picked 1st in the NHL Draft?: Chase Reid — 5¢ Kalshi $99 (weight 1%)
- Will Keaton Verhoeff be picked 1st in the NHL Draft?: Keaton Verhoeff — 6¢ Kalshi $61 (weight 1%)
- Will Chase Reid be picked 2nd in the NHL Draft?: Chase Reid — 13¢ Kalshi $26 (weight 0%)
- ... and 5 more

Cite as: "23% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/nhldraftpick
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Chase%20Reid%20be%20picked%203rd%20in%20the%20NHL%20Draft
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev