54% — Will the Utah Mammoth qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season Kalshi 54% · 20 contracts · $91 volume · medium confidence Updated 2026-08-27 08:51:31 UTC Why this matters: This probability of 75% reflects market expectation that the Utah Mammoth will finish among the top teams in their conference and secure a playoff berth in the 2026-27 season. The estimate sits above the Washington Capitals (70%) but below the Carolina Hurricanes (90%), suggesting traders view the Mammoth as a moderately strong playoff contender but not among the league's elite. The current level likely reflects the team's roster composition and recent performance trends, with movement driven by factors like mid-season injury reports, trade deadline activity, and head-to-head division matchups. Key resolution points include the team's win-loss record through December (indicating early season form) and performance during the final 20 games of the regular season, when playoff positioning typically crystallizes. Final regular season standings in April 2027 will ultimately determine qualification. Key factors: - The Mammoth's position in their division relative to direct competitors, as only top-4 teams in each conference qualify - Injury status of key roster players during the season, particularly any losses to core contributors - Trade market activity at the February 2027 deadline, reflecting the team's mid-season commitment level - Recent possession and scoring metrics (shots, goals allowed) compared to historical playoff threshold benchmarks - Head-to-head record against other wild-card contenders in their conference Contracts: - Will the New York Rangers qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season?: New York Rangers — 31¢ Kalshi $91 (weight 100%) - Will the New Jersey Devils qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season?: New Jersey Devils — 55¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will the Detroit Red Wings qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season?: Detroit Red Wings — 23¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will the San Jose Sharks qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season?: San Jose Sharks — 53¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will the Boston Bruins qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season?: Boston Bruins — 21¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will the Washington Capitals qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season?: Washington Capitals — 72¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will the Chicago Blackhawks qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season?: Chicago Blackhawks — 14¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will the Florida Panthers qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season?: Florida Panthers — 90¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - ... and 12 more --- ## Methodology SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours. ## SF Signal - SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration. - No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only. --- *Last verified: 2026-08-27T08:20:51.062Z* By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/ Cite as: "54% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, August 2026)" Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/nhlplayoff Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20Utah%20Mammoth%20qualify%20for%20the%20playoffs%20in%20the%202026-27%20NHL%20season Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev