52% — Will the WPG Jets NHL team earn at least 85 points in the 2026-27 regular season Kalshi 52% · 20 contracts · $92 volume · medium confidence Updated 2026-09-21 10:52:07 UTC Why this matters: This probability indicates a near coin-flip assessment of whether the Winnipeg Jets will accumulate at least 85 points during the 2026-27 NHL regular season. The 49% probability reflects uncertainty about the team's competitive positioning, with the Jets historically finishing in the middle tier of the league. Key drivers of this probability include roster stability (particularly goaltending and star player health), depth scoring consistency, and divisional competition strength. The probability will likely shift based on team performance early in the season—typically by November or December, patterns emerge that either confirm or refute preseason expectations. The exact outcome resolves when the regular season concludes in April 2027, at which point the Jets' final point total will be definitively known. Market pricing suggests only slight conviction either direction, indicating substantial disagreement about their competitive trajectory. Key factors: - Jets' average points per season over the past three years relative to 85-point threshold - Turnover in the team's roster (trades, free agency, retirements) between now and October 2026 - Starting goaltender performance and injury history entering 2026-27 season - Strength of schedule and divisional competition (Pacific Division composition) - Historical correlation between preseason expectations and actual regular-season performance for NHL teams at this point range Contracts: - Will the NJ Devils NHL team earn at least 95 points in the 2026-27 regular season?: 95+ points — 56¢ Kalshi $72 (weight 78%) - Will the MIN Wild NHL team earn at least 105 points in the 2026-27 regular season?: 105+ points — 34¢ Kalshi $11 (weight 12%) - Will the MIN Wild NHL team earn at least 100 points in the 2026-27 regular season?: 100+ points — 51¢ Kalshi $9 (weight 10%) - Will the WSH Capitals NHL team earn at least 70 points in the 2026-27 regular season?: 70+ points — 94¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will the WSH Capitals NHL team earn at least 75 points in the 2026-27 regular season?: 75+ points — 92¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will the WSH Capitals NHL team earn at least 80 points in the 2026-27 regular season?: 80+ points — 89¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will the WSH Capitals NHL team earn at least 85 points in the 2026-27 regular season?: 85+ points — 84¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will the WSH Capitals NHL team earn at least 90 points in the 2026-27 regular season?: 90+ points — 75¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - ... and 12 more --- ## Methodology SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours. ## SF Signal - SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration. - No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only. --- *Last verified: 2026-09-21T10:20:51.580Z* By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/ Cite as: "52% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, September 2026)" Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/nhlseasonpts Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20WPG%20Jets%20NHL%20team%20earn%20at%20least%2085%20points%20in%20the%202026-27%20regular%20season Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev