43% — Will Latin win the Off The Dribble 1v1v1 king of the court matchup between Nesco, Moon and Latin Kalshi 43% · 17 contracts · $3K volume · medium confidence Updated 2026-05-29 23:53:45 UTC Why this matters: This probability reflects market expectations that Latin will win a three-player basketball competition among Latin, Nesco, and Moon in an Off The Dribble king-of-the-court format. The 42% probability suggests roughly even odds relative to his two opponents combined, indicating moderate confidence in his chances. Market sentiment appears driven by recent performance history and head-to-head matchup data in similar tournaments. The outcome depends on factors like current form, court conditions on match day, and how the three-player dynamic plays out compared to typical one-on-one scenarios. Resolution will occur when the tournament is completed and a winner is officially determined, providing clear market settlement. Key factors: - Latin's historical win rate in Off The Dribble matchups versus Nesco and Moon specifically - The format advantage or disadvantage of three-player king-of-the-court versus bilateral matchups - Recent tournament performance and point differential data for all three competitors in the past 60 days - Physical condition and injury status of Latin heading into the scheduled event date - Trading volume and directional bets on Kalshi (currently $71 in 24-hour volume suggests active interest but limited price movement) Contracts: - Will Keyon win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Scar and Keyon?: Keyon — 58¢ Kalshi $829 (weight 30%) - Will Nas + Dooley win the Off The Dribble 2v2 between Nas + Dooley and Keem + Greg?: Nas + Dooley — 56¢ Kalshi $487 (weight 18%) - Will Tello win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Tello and Patt?: Tello — 77¢ Kalshi $450 (weight 16%) - Will Bijan win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Bijan and Reese?: Bijan — 57¢ Kalshi $253 (weight 9%) - Will Latin win the Off The Dribble 1v1v1 king of the court matchup between Nesco, Moon and Latin?: Latin — 29¢ Kalshi $163 (weight 6%) - Will Patt win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Tello and Patt?: Patt — 20¢ Kalshi $160 (weight 6%) - Will Moon win the Off The Dribble 1v1v1 between Nesco, Moon and Latin?: Moon — 29¢ Kalshi $140 (weight 5%) - Will Rob Colon + Lamar Peters win the Off The Dribble tag team 1v1 between Zae + Uncle Skoob and Rob Colon + Lamar Peters?: Rob Colon + Lamar Peters — 48¢ Kalshi $89 (weight 3%) - ... and 9 more --- ## Methodology SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours. ## SF Signal - SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration. - No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only. --- *Last verified: 2026-05-29T23:20:08.520Z* By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/ Cite as: "43% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)" Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/otdbasketball Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Latin%20win%20the%20Off%20The%20Dribble%201v1v1%20king%20of%20the%20court%20matchup%20between%20Nesco%2C%20Moon%20and%20Latin Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev