53% — Will Donald Trump pardon between 3 and 9 people before May 1, 2026
Leader: 0 at 53% · Kalshi 53% · 8 contracts · $52 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 07:22:00 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 8 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Will Donald Trump pardon exactly 0 people before Jun 1, 2026?: 0 — 53¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Donald Trump pardon between 3 and 9 people before Jun 1, 2026?: 3 to 9 — 5¢ Kalshi $52 (weight 100%)
- Will Donald Trump pardon between 10 and 14 people before Jun 1, 2026?: 10 to 14 — 5¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Donald Trump pardon between 15 and 19 people before Jun 1, 2026?: 15 to 19 — 5¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Donald Trump pardon exactly 1 people before Jun 1, 2026?: 1 — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Donald Trump pardon exactly 2 people before Jun 1, 2026?: 2 — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Donald Trump pardon between 20 and 24 people before Jun 1, 2026?: 20 to 24 — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Donald Trump pardon above 24 people before Jun 1, 2026?: Above 24 — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)

Cite as: "53% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/pardonstrump
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Donald%20Trump%20pardon%20between%203%20and%209%20people%20before%20May%201%2C%202026
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev