23% — Will Patek prices hit __ by April 30?: ↑ $106,000
Polymarket 25% · Kalshi 22% · 11 contracts · $215K volume · high confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 16:09:42 UTC

Cross-venue gap: 3pp (Polymarket higher)

Contracts:
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?: ↑ $200 — 4¢ Polymarket $55K (weight 11%)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $4.460?: Above 4.460 — 21¢ Kalshi $48K (weight 11%)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $4.470?: Above 4.470 — 4¢ Kalshi $39K (weight 11%)
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 45,000 — 28¢ Polymarket $30K (weight 10%)
- Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? — 13¢ Polymarket $19K (weight 10%)
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 50,000 — 38¢ Polymarket $9K (weight 9%)
- Will Karoline Leavitt leaves White House Press Secretary in before 2027?: Karoline Leavitt — 41¢ Kalshi $7K (weight 9%)
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 55,000 — 49¢ Polymarket $6K (weight 9%)
- ... and 3 more

Cite as: "23% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/patek-prices-hit-april-30
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Patek%20prices%20hit%20__%20by%20April%2030%3F%3A%20%E2%86%91%20%24106%2C000
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev