87% — Will the combined revision to seasonally adjusted total nonfarm payroll employment in the April 2026 report be above -100,000ㅤ
Leader: Above -100,000ㅤ at 87% · Kalshi 87% · 5 contracts · $2K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 04:20:55 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 5 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Will the combined revision to seasonally adjusted total nonfarm payroll employment in the April 2026 report be above -100,000ㅤ?: Above -100,000ㅤ — 87¢ Kalshi $2 (weight 0%)
- Will the combined revision to seasonally adjusted total nonfarm payroll employment in the April 2026 report be above -50,000ㅤ?: Above -50,000ㅤ — 64¢ Kalshi $756 (weight 50%)
- Will the combined revision to seasonally adjusted total nonfarm payroll employment in the April 2026 report be above 0ㅤ?: Above 0ㅤ — 36¢ Kalshi $180 (weight 12%)
- Will the combined revision to seasonally adjusted total nonfarm payroll employment in the April 2026 report be above 50,000ㅤ?: Above 50,000ㅤ — 13¢ Kalshi $71 (weight 5%)
- Will the combined revision to seasonally adjusted total nonfarm payroll employment in the April 2026 report be above 100,000ㅤ?: Above 100,000ㅤ — 8¢ Kalshi $506 (weight 33%)

Cite as: "87% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/payrollsrev
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20combined%20revision%20to%20seasonally%20adjusted%20total%20nonfarm%20payroll%20employment%20in%20the%20April%202026%20report%20be%20above%20-100%2C000%E3%85%A4
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev