16% — Who will perform at Harry Styles 30-night residency at Madison Square Garden (MSG) in New York City
Leader: Elton John at 16% · Kalshi 16% · 16 contracts · $7 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-28 21:13:03 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 16 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Who will perform at Harry Styles 30-night residency at Madison Square Garden (MSG) in New York City?: Elton John — 16¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Who will perform at Harry Styles 30-night residency at Madison Square Garden (MSG) in New York City?: Lorde — 15¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Who will perform at Harry Styles 30-night residency at Madison Square Garden (MSG) in New York City?: Zayn Malik — 14¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Who will perform at Harry Styles 30-night residency at Madison Square Garden (MSG) in New York City?: Louis Tomlinson — 12¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Who will perform at Harry Styles 30-night residency at Madison Square Garden (MSG) in New York City?: Paul McCartney — 12¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Who will perform at Harry Styles 30-night residency at Madison Square Garden (MSG) in New York City?: Stevie Nicks — 12¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Who will perform at Harry Styles 30-night residency at Madison Square Garden (MSG) in New York City?: Taylor Swift — 12¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Who will perform at Harry Styles 30-night residency at Madison Square Garden (MSG) in New York City?: Charli XCX — 11¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- ... and 8 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-05-28T20:20:09.751Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "16% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/performstylesmsg
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20perform%20at%20Harry%20Styles%2030-night%20residency%20at%20Madison%20Square%20Garden%20(MSG)%20in%20New%20York%20City
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev