12% — Zurich Classic of New Orleans
Leader: Will Ludvig Aberg make the cut?: Ludvig Aberg at 12% · Kalshi 12% · 5 contracts · $1 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 04:20:54 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 5 outcomes.

Why this matters:
The Zurich Classic of New Orleans is a PGA Tour golf tournament held annually in Louisiana, and the 6% probability reflects market expectations about a specific outcome related to this event—likely involving tournament winner prediction, venue-related betting, or New Orleans sports team performance coinciding with the tournament dates. The current low probability suggests the market views this outcome as unlikely given available information. Key drivers include historical tournament data, participant field strength, weather patterns during the tournament window, and any recent announcements about format changes or participating players. The main resolution point will be the tournament results when it occurs, with the specific outcome determined by final leaderboard standings or announced participants.

Key factors:
- Historical tournament results and winner patterns at the Zurich Classic dating back multiple years
- Quality and composition of the current PGA Tour player field committed to participate
- Weather forecasts and course conditions at TPC Louisiana for the tournament dates
- Recent form and rankings of the favorite contenders or specific players relevant to the bet
- Any announced changes to tournament format, sponsorship, or scheduling that could affect outcome likelihood

Contracts:
- PGA Championship: Will Ludvig Aberg make the cut?: Ludvig Aberg — 12¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- PGA Championship: Will Jon Rahm make the cut?: Jon Rahm — 11¢ Kalshi $1 (weight 100%)
- PGA Championship: Will Wyndham Clark make the cut?: Wyndham Clark — 6¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- PGA Championship: Will Patrick Cantlay make the cut?: Patrick Cantlay — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- PGA Championship: Will Bryson DeChambeau make the cut?: Bryson DeChambeau — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)

Cite as: "12% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/pgamakecut
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Zurich%20Classic%20of%20New%20Orleans
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev