11% — Will Miley Cyrus go on Call Her Daddy
Kalshi 11% · 20 contracts · $2 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-08-10 04:10:09 UTC

Why this matters:
This probability represents the estimated likelihood that Miley Cyrus will appear as a guest on the Call Her Daddy podcast hosted by Alex Cooper. At 10%, the market suggests it's considered an unlikely event relative to other potential celebrity guests. The current level likely reflects Cyrus's selective podcast appearance history and her tendency toward traditional media outlets. Upward pressure would come from Cyrus entering a promotional cycle for a new album or film requiring media appearances, while downward pressure would result from her consistently declining podcast invitations or publicly stating a preference to avoid the format. The resolution hinges on whether Cyrus announces or completes a Call Her Daddy appearance before the contract's deadline. Similar contracts for other celebrities show comparable low probabilities, suggesting Call Her Daddy guest appearance markets price in moderate baseline skepticism about celebrity participation.

Key factors:
- Miley Cyrus's historical podcast participation rates and publicly stated preferences about media format choices
- Call Her Daddy's guest booking patterns and whether Cyrus has been approached or courted by the show previously
- Any scheduled album release, tour announcement, or promotional campaign for Cyrus between now and contract expiration that typically triggers media tour activity
- Competitive factors: the 10% probability sits below Olivia Rodrigo (11%) and Addison Rae (13%), suggesting relative ranking among likely guests
- Public statements or social media signals from Cyrus regarding podcast appearances or her relationship with call-in/long-form interview formats

Contracts:
- Will Kendall Jenner go on Call Her Daddy?: Kendall Jenner — 26¢ Kalshi $2 (weight 100%)
- Will Hailey Bieber go on Call Her Daddy?: Hailey Bieber — 14¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Kylie Jenner go on Call Her Daddy?: Kylie Jenner — 15¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Kim Kardashian go on Call Her Daddy?: Kim Kardashian — 14¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Megan Fox go on Call Her Daddy?: Megan Fox — 17¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Addison Rae go on Call Her Daddy?: Addison Rae — 10¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Madelyn Cline go on Call Her Daddy?: Madelyn Cline — 19¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Sydney Sweeney go on Call Her Daddy?: Sydney Sweeney — 20¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- ... and 12 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-08-10T02:20:49.650Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "11% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, August 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/podcastguestcallherdaddy
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Miley%20Cyrus%20go%20on%20Call%20Her%20Daddy
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev