35% — Will Paul Coll win the 2025-26 Men's PSA World Squash Championship
Kalshi 35% · 11 contracts · $3K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 07:21:22 UTC

Why this matters:
This 32% probability indicates that Paul Coll is estimated to have roughly a one-in-three chance of winning the 2025-26 Men's PSA World Squash Championship. The current assessment reflects Coll's ranking and recent performance relative to other top competitors in professional squash. Movement in this probability would depend on Coll's results in major tournaments leading up to the championship final, which typically occurs in late 2026, and how competitors' form evolves throughout the season. Key drivers include Coll's consistency in ranking events, injuries or form changes among other top players, and head-to-head matchup results in the months preceding the championship. The championship resolution date remains the primary catalyst that will determine the outcome.

Key factors:
- Paul Coll's current PSA ranking and recent tournament performance compared to other seeded contenders
- Win-loss record against the top 5-10 ranked players in squash during the 2025-26 season
- Tournament results from major PSA events (including Masters and Platinum Series events) from January through the championship date
- Health status and participation consistency—absences or injuries to Coll or competing top players would materially affect probability
- Recent head-to-head match records between Coll and historically favored championship contenders

Contracts:
- Will Diego Elias win the 2025-26 Men's PSA World Squash Championship?: Diego Elias — 14¢ Kalshi $1K (weight 44%)
- Will Caroline Fouts win the 2025-26 Women's PSA World Squash Championship?: Caroline Fouts — 96¢ Kalshi $830 (weight 31%)
- Will Mostafa Asal win the 2025-26 Men's PSA World Squash Championship?: Mostafa Asal — 60¢ Kalshi $368 (weight 14%)
- Will Hania El Hammamy win the 2025-26 Women's PSA World Squash Championship?: Hania El Hammamy — 48¢ Kalshi $205 (weight 8%)
- Will Amina Orfi win the 2025-26 Women's PSA World Squash Championship?: Amina Orfi — 6¢ Kalshi $52 (weight 2%)
- Will Nour ElSherbini win the 2025-26 Women's PSA World Squash Championship?: Nour ElSherbini — 27¢ Kalshi $41 (weight 2%)
- Will Paul Coll win the 2025-26 Men's PSA World Squash Championship?: Paul Coll — 4¢ Kalshi $1 (weight 0%)
- Will Marina Stefanoni win the 2025-26 Women's PSA World Squash Championship?: Marina Stefanoni — 20¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- ... and 3 more

Cite as: "35% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/psasquash
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Paul%20Coll%20win%20the%202025-26%20Men's%20PSA%20World%20Squash%20Championship
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev