85% — Rain in Austin in Apr 2026
Leader: Above 3 inches at 85% · Kalshi 85% · 5 contracts · $491 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 07:21:14 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 5 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Rain in Austin in May 2026?: Above 3 inches — 85¢ Kalshi $184 (weight 37%)
- Rain in Austin in May 2026?: Above 4 inches — 59¢ Kalshi $219 (weight 45%)
- Rain in Austin in May 2026?: Above 5 inches — 36¢ Kalshi $67 (weight 14%)
- Rain in Austin in May 2026?: Above 6 inches — 20¢ Kalshi $21 (weight 4%)
- Rain in Austin in May 2026?: Above 7 inches — 5¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)

Cite as: "85% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/rainausm
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Rain%20in%20Austin%20in%20Apr%202026
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev