50% — Will The Warehouse Project at Depot Mayfield be in the Top 5 on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs
Kalshi 50% · 2 contracts · $0 volume · low confidence
Updated 2026-08-24 00:36:44 UTC

Why this matters:
This probability reflects market expectation that The Warehouse Project at Depot Mayfield will rank within the top 5 clubs on DJ Mag's annual Top 100 Clubs list. The 93% level is driven by the venue's established reputation and track record in electronic music, alongside comparable venues like Savaya and Hï Ibiza trading at similarly high probabilities (95% and 95% respectively). The main uncertainty centers on whether the venue maintains its current standing relative to other globally recognized clubs, and how DJ Mag's voting panel weighs factors like programming quality, cultural impact, and recent performance. Resolution occurs when DJ Mag publishes its next annual ranking, typically released in late 2026 or early 2027. The convergence of multiple top-tier clubs at 90-95% suggests markets view inclusion in the top 5 as highly likely for established premium venues, though competition remains intense among the world's leading electronic music destinations.

Key factors:
- The Warehouse Project's historical presence and longevity in DJ Mag rankings relative to peer venues
- DJ Mag's voting methodology changes year-to-year and geographic distribution of voter preferences
- Programming quality and artist bookings throughout 2026 directly influence voter perception
- Competitive intensity from other venues globally seeking top-5 positioning
- Publication timing and exact ranking criteria that DJ Mag uses for the 2026 or 2027 list

Contracts:
- Will Echostage be in the Top 5 on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs?: Echostage — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 50%)
- Will Hï Ibiza be in the Top 5 on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs?: Hï Ibiza — 97¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 50%)

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-08-22T19:20:52.126Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "50% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, August 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/ranklistdjmagclubs
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20The%20Warehouse%20Project%20at%20Depot%20Mayfield%20be%20in%20the%20Top%205%20on%20Dj%20Mag%20Top%20100%20Clubs
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev