58% — Will Steve Aoki be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Kalshi 58% · 11 contracts · $0 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-08-10 13:00:04 UTC

Why this matters:
This represents a 63% probability that Steve Aoki will place in the top 10 of DJ Mag's annual Top 100 DJs ranking. The current level reflects Aoki's established popularity and touring presence against uncertainty about voting patterns and competition from other prominent DJs. His ranking depends primarily on voting metrics from DJ Mag readers and industry voters, which shift year-to-year based on artist visibility, releases, and event participation. The main catalyst is the publication of DJ Mag's Top 100 ranking, typically released in late fall, which will definitively settle whether Aoki achieves top-10 status. Historical rankings show volatility in mid-tier positions, suggesting meaningful uncertainty even for established artists.

Key factors:
- Steve Aoki's chart position in DJ Mag's previous 3-5 annual rankings provides baseline data on stability or volatility of his standing
- Comparative positioning of similar artists on current Kalshi contracts (Afrojack at 60%, Anyma at 78%) indicates relative market assessment of Aoki's competitiveness
- DJ Mag voting methodology weights reader votes and industry input, which can shift based on media coverage and release activity during the voting period
- The binary nature of top-10 placement means small ranking changes (11th vs 10th) create significant probability swings despite similar competitive position
- DJ Mag Top 100 rankings are typically published in late September/October, representing the primary event that resolves this contract

Contracts:
- Will John Summit be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: John Summit — 12¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 9%)
- Will Afrojack be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: Afrojack — 60¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 9%)
- Will Alok be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: Alok — 90¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 9%)
- Will Anyma be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: Anyma — 78¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 9%)
- Will Armin Van Buuren be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: Armin Van Buuren — 89¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 9%)
- Will Black Coffee be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: Black Coffee — 4¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 9%)
- Will Calvin Harris be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: Calvin Harris — 14¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 9%)
- Will Charlotte de Witte be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: Charlotte de Witte — 84¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 9%)
- ... and 3 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-08-10T12:20:49.100Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "58% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, August 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/ranklistdjmagtop10
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Steve%20Aoki%20be%20in%20the%20Top%2010%20on%20DJ%20Mag%20Top%20100%20DJ's
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev