50% — Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top Kicker
Leader: 2026-27 Season Top Kicker?: Brandon Aubrey at 50% · Kalshi 50% · 5 contracts · $0 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-07-23 22:45:25 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 5 outcomes.

Why this matters:
This probability indicates that Brandon Aubrey is assessed as having a 49% chance of finishing as the top-scoring kicker in the 2026-27 NFL fantasy football season. Aubrey's positioning reflects his recent performance trajectory and role with a high-scoring offense. The probability would shift based on changes in team offensive efficiency, coaching decisions affecting kicking opportunities, or performance from competing kickers like Ka'imi Fairbairn (priced at 24%). The 2026-17 NFL season runs from September 2026 through January 2027, with the final regular-season games in early January 2027 providing the ultimate data point. Injuries to key players, offensive line changes, or shifts in team strategy could materially alter scoring opportunities for any kicker throughout the season.

Key factors:
- Aubrey's 2025 season scoring output and consistency relative to other NFL kickers entering the 2026 offseason
- Changes to the Dallas Cowboys' offensive personnel, play-calling approach, or coaching that could affect field goal attempts and extra point opportunities
- Fairbairn's performance trends and the Houston Texans' offensive trajectory heading into 2026
- Emergence or decline of other kickers not currently reflected in the top two prices due to trades, free agency, or injury recovery
- Field conditions, rule changes, or weather patterns during the 2026-27 season that could systematically favor or disadvantage kicking performance

Contracts:
- Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top Kicker?: Brandon Aubrey — 50¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 20%)
- Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top Kicker?: Cameron Dicker — 35¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 20%)
- Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top Kicker?: Jason Myers — 35¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 20%)
- Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top Kicker?: Ka'imi Fairbairn — 24¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 20%)
- Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top Kicker?: Charlie Smyth — 20¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 20%)

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-07-23T22:20:51.808Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "50% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, July 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/ranklistffk
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20be%20Fantasy%20Football%3A%202026-27%20Season%20Top%20Kicker
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev