21% — Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE
Leader: 2026-27 Season Top TE?: Brock Bowers at 21% · Kalshi 21% · 10 contracts · $88 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-08-27 08:09:16 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 10 outcomes.

Why this matters:
This represents the 5% implied probability that Brock Bowers finishes as the top-scoring tight end in fantasy football for the 2026-27 NFL season. The low probability reflects that Bowers, despite being a promising young talent, faces competition from established veterans and other emerging tight ends. Market pricing is driven by uncertainty about player health, offensive usage, and relative performance across the league. The primary catalyst for resolution will be the conclusion of the 2026-17 NFL regular season in early January 2027, when final fantasy scoring is tallied. Between now and then, preseason performance, injury reports, and early-season snap counts will provide incremental information affecting player odds.

Key factors:
- Bowers' offensive snap count percentage and target share in the Las Vegas Raiders' 2026 scheme relative to competing tight ends
- Injury status and durability of Bowers and other top-tier tight end candidates heading into and through the season
- Whether Bowers' scoring trajectory accelerates from his 2025-26 season baseline or plateaus relative to veteran tight ends
- Preseason performance metrics (catches, yards, efficiency) that correlate with regular-season fantasy production
- Changes in NFL tight end landscape due to trades, free agency moves, or coaching staff offensive philosophies affecting volume opportunities

Contracts:
- Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE?: Brock Bowers — 21¢ Kalshi $10 (weight 11%)
- Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE?: Trey McBride — 20¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE?: Tyler Warren — 10¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE?: Colston Loveland — 10¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE?: Mark Andrews — 8¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE?: T.J. Hockenson — 8¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE?: Travis Kelce — 7¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE?: Kenyon Sadiq — 6¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- ... and 2 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-08-27T07:21:47.953Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "21% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, August 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/ranklistffte
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20be%20Fantasy%20Football%3A%202026-27%20Season%20Top%20TE
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev