32% — Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA River Plate - More Markets
Polymarket 20% · Kalshi 37% · 20 contracts · $3K volume · low confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 18:46:10 UTC

Cross-venue gap: 17pp (Kalshi higher)

Contracts:
- River Plate vs Tucuman Winner?: River Plate — 62¢ Kalshi $2K (weight 15%)
- Miami Grand Prix: Top Constructor?: Red Bull Racing — 3¢ Kalshi $383 (weight 12%)
- Will Dplus KIA win the Nongshim Red Force vs. Dplus KIA League of Legends match?: Dplus KIA — 54¢ Kalshi $347 (weight 12%)
- Will Nongshim Red Force win the Nongshim Red Force vs. Dplus KIA League of Legends match?: Nongshim Red Force — 13¢ Kalshi $340 (weight 12%)
- Will Nongshim Red Force win the Nongshim Red Force vs. Gen.G League of Legends match?: Nongshim Red Force — 12¢ Kalshi $157 (weight 10%)
- Bragantino at Chapecoense: Totals: Over 2.5 goals scored — 47¢ Kalshi $67 (weight 9%)
- Brazil Série A: Winner: Red Bull Bragantino — 4¢ Polymarket $50 (weight 8%)
- Will Dplus KIA win map 1 in the Nongshim Red Force vs. Dplus KIA match?: Dplus KIA — 58¢ Kalshi $10 (weight 5%)
- ... and 12 more

Cite as: "32% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
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