73% — Seattle Reign FC vs. Washington Spirit - More Markets
Leader: O/U 1.5 at 73% · Polymarket 73% · 9 contracts · $79 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 09:05:57 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 9 outcomes.

Why this matters:
The 51% probability reflects market expectations that both teams will score in an upcoming Seattle Reign FC versus Washington Spirit match. This outcome sits at the top of five competing market contracts tracking different match results and goal distributions. The probability is driven by both teams' recent offensive and defensive performance metrics, as well as historical scoring patterns in matchups between these two NWSL sides. The primary catalyst for resolution will be the match result itself—specifically whether each team finds the net during the 90 minutes of play. Current market activity is minimal across these contracts, suggesting limited recent trading volume and potentially wider bid-ask spreads. The spread of probabilities across spread-based contracts (ranging from 31¢ to 32¢ for various goal-margin outcomes) indicates uncertainty about both the final result and margin of victory.

Key factors:
- Both Teams to Score is priced at 51%, notably higher than any individual team victory or spread outcome, suggesting traders weight balanced offensive capability over either team winning decisively
- Washington Spirit and Seattle Reign FC spread contracts are evenly split near 32¢ each across multiple goal margins, indicating approximate parity in market expectations for either outcome
- Zero 24-hour trading volume across all five contracts suggests these markets have not yet attracted significant liquidity ahead of the scheduled match
- The gap between BTTS (51¢) and next-highest contract (32¢ for various spreads) represents the largest single probability differentiator in this market cluster
- Historical NWSL scoring rates and recent team form would determine whether the actual 51% probability properly reflects goal-scoring likelihood

Contracts:
- Seattle Reign FC vs. Washington Spirit - More Markets: O/U 1.5 — 73¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- Seattle Reign FC vs. Washington Spirit - More Markets: Both Teams to Score — 51¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- Seattle Reign FC vs. Washington Spirit - More Markets: O/U 2.5 — 48¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- Seattle Reign FC vs. Washington Spirit - More Markets: Washington Spirit (-1.5) — 25¢ Polymarket $79 (weight 100%)
- Seattle Reign FC vs. Washington Spirit - More Markets: O/U 3.5 — 22¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- Seattle Reign FC vs. Washington Spirit - More Markets: O/U 4.5 — 14¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- Seattle Reign FC vs. Washington Spirit - More Markets: Seattle Reign FC (-1.5) — 13¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- Seattle Reign FC vs. Washington Spirit - More Markets: Washington Spirit (-2.5) — 12¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- ... and 1 more

Cite as: "73% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/seattle-reign-fc-vs-washington-spirit-more-markets
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Seattle%20Reign%20FC%20vs.%20Washington%20Spirit%20-%20More%20Markets
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev