78% — Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka - More Markets
Leader: O/U 1.5 at 78% · Polymarket 78% · 9 contracts · $3K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 04:22:08 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 9 outcomes.

Why this matters:
The 50% probability indicates that traders currently assess Shimizu S-Pulse and Cerezo Ōsaka as nearly evenly matched in an upcoming match, with Cerezo favored slightly in some derivative markets at 33 cents for a -1.5 spread. The mid-50% pricing reflects thin liquidity across the contract set ($0 in 24-hour volume) and limited consensus; Polymarket's other S-Pulse contract shows 44 cents, suggesting some traders expect Shimizu to perform better than the leader's current pricing implies. The probability would shift upward if recent form data favors Shimizu, downward if Cerezo's recent wins or head-to-head record dominates trader calculations. Resolution depends on the scheduled match outcome, which will definitively settle the contract and reveal which team performs better on the day.

Key factors:
- Recent form and goals-for/against records for both clubs in their latest five matches
- Head-to-head historical performance between Shimizu S-Pulse and Cerezo Ōsaka
- Injury or suspension status of key players for either squad ahead of the fixture
- Home/away advantage and venue conditions for the scheduled match
- Market depth and liquidity: the $0 daily volume suggests minimal price discovery, making current probabilities vulnerable to early information or larger trades

Contracts:
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka - More Markets: O/U 1.5 — 78¢ Polymarket $53 (weight 2%)
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka - More Markets: Both Teams to Score — 57¢ Polymarket $7 (weight 0%)
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka - More Markets: O/U 2.5 — 53¢ Polymarket $2K (weight 89%)
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka - More Markets: O/U 3.5 — 31¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka - More Markets: Shimizu S-Pulse (-1.5) — 18¢ Polymarket $20 (weight 1%)
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka - More Markets: Cerezo Ōsaka (-1.5) — 15¢ Polymarket $177 (weight 6%)
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka - More Markets: O/U 4.5 — 14¢ Polymarket $45 (weight 2%)
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka - More Markets: Shimizu S-Pulse (-2.5) — 7¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- ... and 1 more

Cite as: "78% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/shimizu-spulse-vs-cerezo-saka-more-markets
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Shimizu%20S-Pulse%20vs.%20Cerezo%20%C5%8Csaka%20-%20More%20Markets
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev