45% — Singapore vs. China PR - Halftime Result
Leader: China PR at 45% · Polymarket 45% · 3 contracts · $0 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-06-08 07:02:12 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 3 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Singapore vs. China PR - Halftime Result: China PR — 45¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 33%)
- Singapore vs. China PR - Halftime Result: Draw — 40¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 33%)
- Singapore vs. China PR - Halftime Result: Singapore — 17¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 33%)

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-06-06T13:20:12.581Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "45% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, June 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/singapore-vs-china-pr-halftime-result
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Singapore%20vs.%20China%20PR%20-%20Halftime%20Result
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev