49% — São Paulo FC vs. Mirassol FC
Polymarket 26% · Kalshi 50% · 6 contracts · $517 volume · low confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 16:14:24 UTC

Cross-venue gap: 24pp (Kalshi higher)

Contracts:
- Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?: Tarcísio de Freitas — 81¢ Kalshi $421 (weight 38%)
- Brazil Série A: Winner: São Paulo — 3¢ Polymarket $50 (weight 25%)
- Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: Mirassol FC — 62¢ Polymarket $46 (weight 24%)
- Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: LDU de Quito — 14¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 4%)
- Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: Draw (Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito) — 24¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 4%)
- Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?: Fernando Haddad — 19¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 4%)

Cite as: "49% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/so-paulo-fc-vs-mirassol-fc
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=S%C3%A3o%20Paulo%20FC%20vs.%20Mirassol%20FC
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev