26% — Will SOFR hit __ in April?: ↑3.74%
Polymarket 27% · Kalshi 24% · 20 contracts · $401K volume · high confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 14:58:49 UTC

Cross-venue gap: 3pp (Polymarket higher)

Contracts:
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?: ↑ $150 — 17¢ Polymarket $130K (weight 7%)
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?: ↑ $175 — 8¢ Polymarket $95K (weight 7%)
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?: ↑ $200 — 4¢ Polymarket $52K (weight 6%)
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 45,000 — 28¢ Polymarket $29K (weight 6%)
- Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? — 13¢ Polymarket $19K (weight 6%)
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 40,000 — 22¢ Polymarket $17K (weight 6%)
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 50,000 — 38¢ Polymarket $9K (weight 5%)
- Will Karoline Leavitt leaves White House Press Secretary in before 2027?: Karoline Leavitt — 41¢ Kalshi $7K (weight 5%)
- ... and 12 more

Cite as: "26% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/sofr-hit-april
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20SOFR%20hit%20__%20in%20April%3F%3A%20%E2%86%913.74%25
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev