19% — Will Rachel Reeves be out as Chancellor before July 2026
Kalshi 19% · 7 contracts · $2K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 04:20:59 UTC

Contracts:
- Will Pat McFadden be out as Work and Pensions Secretary before July 2026?: Pat McFadden — 16¢ Kalshi $430 (weight 22%)
- Will Ed Miliband be out as Energy Secretary before July 2026?: Ed Miliband — 29¢ Kalshi $415 (weight 21%)
- Will Jonathan Reynolds be out as Chief Whip before July 2026?: Jonathan Reynolds — 12¢ Kalshi $385 (weight 20%)
- Will Shabana Mahmood be out as Home Secretary before July 2026?: Shabana Mahmood — 17¢ Kalshi $375 (weight 19%)
- Will Rachel Reeves be out as Chancellor before July 2026?: Rachel Reeves — 27¢ Kalshi $332 (weight 17%)
- Will Wes Streeting be out as Health Secretary before July 2026?: Wes Streeting — 16¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will David Lammy be out as Deputy PM before July 2026?: David Lammy — 14¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)

Cite as: "19% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/starmercableave
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Rachel%20Reeves%20be%20out%20as%20Chancellor%20before%20July%202026
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev