72% — Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for May 2026 be above 2.495 millionㅤ
Leader: Above 2.475ㅤ million at 72% · Kalshi 72% · 5 contracts · $43 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-26 10:06:33 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 5 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for May 2026 be above 2.475 millionㅤ?: Above 2.475ㅤ million — 72¢ Kalshi $14 (weight 33%)
- Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for May 2026 be above 2.480 millionㅤ?: Above 2.480ㅤ million — 59¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for May 2026 be above 2.485 millionㅤ?: Above 2.485ㅤ million — 39¢ Kalshi $25 (weight 58%)
- Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for May 2026 be above 2.495 millionㅤ?: Above 2.495ㅤ million — 32¢ Kalshi $4 (weight 9%)
- Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for May 2026 be above 2.490 millionㅤ?: Above 2.490ㅤ million — 31¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-05-26T09:20:12.173Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "72% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/temphelp
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20All%20Employees%2C%20Temporary%20Help%20Services%20for%20May%202026%20be%20above%202.495%20million%E3%85%A4
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev