17% — Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.47 and 4.49 on Apr 24, 2026
Leader: 4.4% to 4.42% at 17% · Kalshi 17% · 3 contracts · $16 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 07:21:44 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 3 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.40 and 4.42 on May 8, 2026?: 4.4% to 4.42% — 17¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.37 and 4.39 on May 8, 2026?: 4.37% to 4.39% — 16¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.46 and 4.48 on May 8, 2026?: 4.46% to 4.48% — 3¢ Kalshi $16 (weight 100%)

Cite as: "17% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/tnotew
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20yield%20of%2010-year%20U.S.%20treasury%20notes%20be%20between%204.47%20and%204.49%20on%20Apr%2024%2C%202026
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev