6% — Will KPop Demon Hunters (Soundtrack from the Netflix Film) be the #3 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026 Kalshi 6% · 14 contracts · $0 volume · medium confidence Updated 2026-10-25 20:04:33 UTC Why this matters: This contract predicts whether the KPop Demon Hunters soundtrack will rank as the #3 most-streamed album on Spotify's 2026 USA Wrapped year-end chart when released in early December 2026. The 5% probability reflects that KPop Demon Hunters faces substantial competition from established and emerging artists for a specific chart position. The outcome hinges on two primary drivers: the Netflix film's cultural penetration and streaming performance during the critical July-November 2026 window, and whether the soundtrack gains sufficient listener engagement to accumulate enough streams relative to other major releases. The key uncertainty resolves when Spotify publishes its official 2026 Wrapped data, typically in early December, which will definitively show the final #3 album position. Until then, the soundtrack's trajectory depends on film viewership metrics, radio play, playlist placement, and competitive releases from other major artists during the same period. Key factors: - The Netflix film's actual release date and viewership numbers, which determine the soundtrack's initial exposure window and baseline listener acquisition - Comparative streaming volume of other major album releases during 2026, particularly from established artists likely to occupy top positions - Playlist placement decisions by Spotify's editorial teams, which significantly influence discovery and accumulation of streams for soundtrack content - Whether the soundtrack generates organic social media momentum or cultural relevance beyond the film's core audience - The soundtrack's performance in top-streamed countries outside the USA, which may indicate stronger domestic potential but don't directly affect the USA Wrapped ranking Contracts: - Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS be the #3 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?: DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS — 6¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 7%) - Will Dandelion be the #3 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?: Dandelion — 9¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 7%) - Will GNX be the #3 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?: GNX — 5¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 7%) - Will The Great Divide: The Last of the Bugs be the #3 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?: The Great Divide: The Last of the Bugs — 6¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 7%) - Will HIT ME HARD AND SOFT be the #3 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?: HIT ME HARD AND SOFT — 5¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 7%) - Will Iceman be the #3 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?: Iceman — 16¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 7%) - Will KPop Demon Hunters (Soundtrack from the Netflix Film) be the #3 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?: KPop Demon Hunters (Soundtrack from the Netflix Film) — 5¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 7%) - Will I’m The Problem be the #3 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?: I’m The Problem — 4¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 7%) - ... and 6 more --- ## Methodology SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours. ## SF Signal - SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration. - No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only. --- *Last verified: 2026-10-12T16:20:52.322Z* By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/ Cite as: "6% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, October 2026)" Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/topalbumthirdusa Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20KPop%20Demon%20Hunters%20(Soundtrack%20from%20the%20Netflix%20Film)%20be%20the%20%233%20most%20streamed%20Album%20on%20the%20%202026%20Spotify%20Wrapped%20Top%2010%20Albums%20USA%20chart%20on%20the%20date%20that%20the%20chart%20is%20released%20for%202026 Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev