3% — Will the Truflation US CPI Housing Inflation Index on Jun 5, 2026 be above -0.08%
Leader: Above -0.05% at 3% · Kalshi 3% · 15 contracts · $0 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-06-08 03:56:19 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 15 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Will the Truflation US CPI Housing Inflation Index on Jun 6, 2026 be above -0.05%?: Above -0.05% — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 7%)
- Will the Truflation US CPI Housing Inflation Index on Jun 6, 2026 be above -0.10%?: Above -0.10% — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 7%)
- Will the Truflation US CPI Housing Inflation Index on Jun 6, 2026 be above -0.15%?: Above -0.15% — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 7%)
- Will the Truflation US CPI Housing Inflation Index on Jun 6, 2026 be above -0.20%?: Above -0.20% — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 7%)
- Will the Truflation US CPI Housing Inflation Index on Jun 6, 2026 be above -0.25%?: Above -0.25% — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 7%)
- Will the Truflation US CPI Housing Inflation Index on Jun 6, 2026 be above -0.30%?: Above -0.30% — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 7%)
- Will the Truflation US CPI Housing Inflation Index on Jun 6, 2026 be above -0.35%?: Above -0.35% — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 7%)
- Will the Truflation US CPI Housing Inflation Index on Jun 6, 2026 be above -0.40%?: Above -0.40% — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 7%)
- ... and 7 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-06-06T19:20:12.995Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "3% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, June 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/trufhoucpi
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20Truflation%20US%20CPI%20Housing%20Inflation%20Index%20on%20Jun%205%2C%202026%20be%20above%20-0.08%25
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev