26% — Will Trump post on Truth Social between 4:00 AM and 4:59 AM ET this week
Leader: 1-2 AM at 26% · Kalshi 26% · 4 contracts · $303 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 07:21:58 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 4 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Will Trump post on Truth Social between 1:00 AM and 1:59 AM ET this week?: 1-2 AM — 26¢ Kalshi $122 (weight 40%)
- Will Trump post on Truth Social between 2:00 AM and 2:59 AM ET this week?: 2-3 AM — 16¢ Kalshi $54 (weight 18%)
- Will Trump post on Truth Social between 4:00 AM and 4:59 AM ET this week?: 4-5 AM — 10¢ Kalshi $24 (weight 8%)
- Will Trump post on Truth Social between 3:00 AM and 3:59 AM ET this week?: 3-4 AM — 6¢ Kalshi $104 (weight 34%)

Cite as: "26% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/trumptime
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Trump%20post%20on%20Truth%20Social%20between%204%3A00%20AM%20and%204%3A59%20AM%20ET%20this%20week
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev