32% — Will Alexander Hernandez win the Rafa Garcia vs. Alexander Hernandez UFC fight in Round 2
Kalshi 32% · 17 contracts · $16K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 07:21:22 UTC

Contracts:
- Will Sean Strickland win the Khamzat Chimaev vs. Sean Strickland UFC fight in Round 1: Sean Strickland to win in Round 1 — 3¢ Kalshi $4K (weight 24%)
- Will Sean Strickland win the Khamzat Chimaev vs. Sean Strickland UFC fight in Round 3: Sean Strickland to win in Round 3 — 3¢ Kalshi $2K (weight 12%)
- Will either competitor win the Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon fight by decision or the fight result in a draw/no contest: Decision / Draw / No Contest — 56¢ Kalshi $1K (weight 8%)
- Will Khamzat Chimaev win the Khamzat Chimaev vs. Sean Strickland UFC fight in Round 4: Khamzat Chimaev to win in Round 4 — 7¢ Kalshi $1K (weight 7%)
- Will Khamzat Chimaev win the Khamzat Chimaev vs. Sean Strickland UFC fight in Round 1: Khamzat Chimaev to win in Round 1 — 27¢ Kalshi $993 (weight 6%)
- Will either competitor win the Khamzat Chimaev vs. Sean Strickland fight by decision or the fight result in a draw/no contest: Decision / Draw / No Contest — 26¢ Kalshi $804 (weight 5%)
- Will either competitor win the Joel Alvarez vs. Yaroslav Amosov fight by decision or the fight result in a draw/no contest: Decision / Draw / No Contest — 42¢ Kalshi $662 (weight 4%)
- Will Khamzat Chimaev win the Khamzat Chimaev vs. Sean Strickland UFC fight in Round 2: Khamzat Chimaev to win in Round 2 — 17¢ Kalshi $651 (weight 4%)
- ... and 9 more

Cite as: "32% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/ufcvicround
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Alexander%20Hernandez%20win%20the%20Rafa%20Garcia%20vs.%20Alexander%20Hernandez%20UFC%20fight%20in%20Round%202
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev