15% — U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...
Polymarket 15% · Kalshi 37% · 20 contracts · $10K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 21:10:24 UTC

Cross-venue gap: 22pp (Kalshi higher)

Contracts:
- Will the U.S. sovereign wealth fund be operational before 2027?: Before 2027 — 18¢ Kalshi $6K (weight 15%)
- Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?: May 31 — 8¢ Polymarket $2K (weight 13%)
- Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?: June 30, 2026 — 5¢ Polymarket $1K (weight 12%)
- U.S. nuclear test by...?: June 30, 2026 — 3¢ Polymarket $337 (weight 10%)
- Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? — 7¢ Polymarket $288 (weight 10%)
- U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?: June 30 — 6¢ Polymarket $143 (weight 9%)
- US strike on Mexico by...?: December 31 — 13¢ Polymarket $38 (weight 6%)
- Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?: December 31, 2026 — 59¢ Polymarket $17 (weight 5%)
- ... and 12 more

Cite as: "15% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/us-anticartel-ground-operation-mexico
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=U.S.%20anti-cartel%20ground%20operation%20in%20Mexico%20by...
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev