29% — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...
Polymarket 37% · Kalshi 28% · 20 contracts · $371K volume · high confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 12:34:08 UTC

Cross-venue gap: 9pp (Polymarket higher)

Contracts:
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? — 30¢ Polymarket $230K (weight 9%)
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? — 28¢ Polymarket $61K (weight 8%)
- Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: Before 2027 — 21¢ Kalshi $57K (weight 8%)
- Will the U.S. credit rating be downgraded by December 31, 2026?: Rating reduced — 22¢ Kalshi $5K (weight 6%)
- Will the U.S. sovereign wealth fund be operational before 2027?: Before 2027 — 24¢ Kalshi $4K (weight 6%)
- Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? — 93¢ Polymarket $4K (weight 6%)
- Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party — 48¢ Kalshi $3K (weight 5%)
- Will Republicans win the U.S. Senate in 2026?: Republican Party — 50¢ Kalshi $2K (weight 5%)
- ... and 12 more

Cite as: "29% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/us-anticartel-operation-outside-of-us
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=U.S.%20anti-cartel%20operation%20outside%20of%20the%20U.S.%20by...
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev