94% — Will Total Public Debt Outstanding for April 30, 2026 be above 39.20 trillion
Leader: Above 60k at 94% · Kalshi 94% · 15 contracts · $2K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 07:21:27 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 15 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above 60000?: Above 60k — 94¢ Kalshi $500 (weight 26%)
- Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above 50000?: Above 50k — 93¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be above 1100000?: Above 1.1M — 86¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be above 1200000?: Above 1.2M — 83¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be above 1300000?: Above 1.3M — 77¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above 70000?: Above 70k — 77¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be above 1400000?: Above 1.4M — 76¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above 80000?: Above 80k — 64¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- ... and 7 more

Cite as: "94% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/usdebtmon
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Total%20Public%20Debt%20Outstanding%20for%20April%2030%2C%202026%20be%20above%2039.20%20trillion
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev