94% — Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.00%
Leader: Above 4.00% at 94% · Kalshi 94% · 15 contracts · $3 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 07:21:06 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 15 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.00%?: Above 4.00% — 94¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.10%?: Above 4.10% — 92¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.20%?: Above 4.20% — 92¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.50%?: Above 4.50% — 92¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.40%?: Above 4.40% — 90¢ Kalshi $2 (weight 67%)
- Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.30%?: Above 4.30% — 90¢ Kalshi $1 (weight 33%)
- Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.90%?: Above 4.90% — 46¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 5.00%?: Above 5.00% — 43¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- ... and 7 more

Cite as: "94% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/ustyld
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20UST%20Par%20Yield%20Curve%20(30Y)%20for%20Q2%202026%20be%20above%204.00%25
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev