50% — Will Team Liquid win the Team Liquid vs. Natus Vincere Valorant match
Kalshi 50% · 4 contracts · $3K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-06-08 04:42:07 UTC

Contracts:
- Will FULL SENSE win the FUT Esports vs. FULL SENSE Valorant match?: FULL SENSE — 53¢ Kalshi $1K (weight 38%)
- Will Global Esports win the Global Esports vs. Leviatán Esports Valorant match?: Global Esports — 43¢ Kalshi $1K (weight 30%)
- Will Leviatán Esports win the Global Esports vs. Leviatán Esports Valorant match?: Leviatán Esports — 56¢ Kalshi $595 (weight 18%)
- Will FUT Esports win the FUT Esports vs. FULL SENSE Valorant match?: FUT Esports — 46¢ Kalshi $478 (weight 14%)

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-06-07T07:20:11.816Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "50% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, June 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/valorantgame
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Team%20Liquid%20win%20the%20Team%20Liquid%20vs.%20Natus%20Vincere%20Valorant%20match
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev