57% — Will both teams score
Leader: Both Teams To Score at 57% · Kalshi 57% · 13 contracts · $41K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-06-25 23:42:38 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 13 outcomes.

Why this matters:
Both teams scoring represents the likelihood that both teams in an upcoming match will each find the back of the net. At 52%, the market suggests a slight lean toward both teams scoring, though outcomes remain close to evenly split. This probability is influenced by the offensive and defensive capabilities of the competing teams, their recent form, and tactical approaches. Weather conditions, team injuries, and lineup availability closer to match day could shift expectations. The primary catalyst will be the kickoff date when final team sheets are announced, revealing any last-minute roster changes that might affect attacking or defensive performance. Currently, pricing across available contracts ranges from 38 cents to 50 cents, indicating meaningful disagreement among market participants about the likelihood.

Key factors:
- Recent goal-scoring output for both teams; teams averaging under 1 goal per game are less likely to both score compared to teams averaging 1.5+ goals
- Defensive record of each team; teams conceding fewer than 1 goal per game increase the probability that the opponent will fail to score
- Head-to-head history and tactical matchup; certain team pairings produce defensive standoffs while others typically generate higher scoring
- Confirmed team injuries or absences affecting key strikers or defenders that emerge before match day
- Contract pricing spreads from 38¢ to 50¢ suggest substantial uncertainty; the 52% headline reflects the highest-priced single contract rather than consensus

Contracts:
- Will both teams score?: Both Teams To Score — 57¢ Kalshi $27K (weight 65%)
- Will both teams score?: Both Teams To Score — 52¢ Kalshi $536 (weight 1%)
- Will both teams score?: Both Teams To Score — 51¢ Kalshi $5K (weight 11%)
- Will both teams score?: Both Teams To Score — 49¢ Kalshi $43 (weight 0%)
- Will both teams score?: Both Teams To Score — 47¢ Kalshi $2K (weight 5%)
- Will both teams score?: Both Teams To Score — 45¢ Kalshi $245 (weight 1%)
- Will both teams score?: Both Teams To Score — 45¢ Kalshi $200 (weight 0%)
- Will both teams score?: Both Teams To Score — 44¢ Kalshi $5K (weight 11%)
- ... and 5 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-06-25T23:20:50.307Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "57% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, June 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/wcbtts
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20both%20teams%20score
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev