35% — What will be the exact order of standings for Group G in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup
Leader: 1: Brazil / 2: Morocco / 3: Scotland / 4: Haiti at 35% · Kalshi 35% · 20 contracts · $17K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-06-08 04:32:04 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 20 outcomes.

Contracts:
- What will be the exact order of standings for Group C in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: 1: Brazil / 2: Morocco / 3: Scotland / 4: Haiti — 35¢ Kalshi $1K (weight 7%)
- What will be the exact order of standings for Group E in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: 1: Germany / 2: Ecuador / 3: Ivory Coast / 4: Curacao — 34¢ Kalshi $357 (weight 2%)
- What will be the exact order of standings for Group I in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: 1: France / 2: Norway / 3: Senegal / 4: Iraq — 30¢ Kalshi $1K (weight 7%)
- What will be the exact order of standings for Group L in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: 1: England / 2: Croatia / 3: Ghana / 4: Panama — 26¢ Kalshi $535 (weight 3%)
- What will be the exact order of standings for Group K in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: 1: Portugal / 2: Colombia / 3: Congo DR / 4: Uzbekistan — 26¢ Kalshi $461 (weight 3%)
- What will be the exact order of standings for Group G in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: 1: Belgium / 2: Egypt / 3: IR Iran / 4: New Zealand — 20¢ Kalshi $1K (weight 7%)
- What will be the exact order of standings for Group J in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: 1: Argentina / 2: Algeria / 3: Austria / 4: Jordan — 20¢ Kalshi $241 (weight 1%)
- What will be the exact order of standings for Group F in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: 1: Netherlands / 2: Japan / 3: Sweden / 4: Tunisia — 16¢ Kalshi $1K (weight 7%)
- ... and 12 more

---

## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

---

*Last verified: 2026-06-08T04:20:08.841Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "35% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, June 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/wcgrouporder
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=What%20will%20be%20the%20exact%20order%20of%20standings%20for%20Group%20G%20in%20the%202026%20Men's%20FIFA%20World%20Cup
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev