32% — Brazil: 6+ corners
Kalshi 32% · 20 contracts · $8K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-06-26 02:50:08 UTC

Why this matters:
This market estimates a 45% chance that Brazil will be awarded 6 or more corner kicks in an upcoming match. Corner frequency depends primarily on match dynamics—team possession patterns, defensive tactics, and attacking positioning—rather than fixed team attributes. The current price reflects baseline expectations for Brazil's typical corner rate, with movement dependent on the specific opponent and match conditions. The resolution will occur when the match concludes and official corner totals are recorded. Key drivers include Brazil's attacking intensity, their opponent's defensive setup, and whether the match remains competitive enough to generate multiple set-piece opportunities.

Key factors:
- Brazil's historical corner average per match compared to their typical opponents
- The opposing team's defensive style and propensity to concede corners through aggressive attacking play
- Match weather conditions and field state, which affect ball movement and set-piece frequency
- The referee's consistency in calling fouls that result in corner awards versus goal kicks
- Whether Brazil pursues aggressive tactics early or adopts a cautious approach that reduces attacking plays

Contracts:
- Uruguay: 6+ corners: Uruguay: 6+ — 16¢ Kalshi $3K (weight 32%)
- Cape Verde: 5+ corners: Cape Verde: 5+ — 44¢ Kalshi $1K (weight 12%)
- Uruguay: 8+ corners: Uruguay: 8+ — 5¢ Kalshi $960 (weight 11%)
- Argentina: 6+ corners: Argentina: 6+ — 51¢ Kalshi $808 (weight 10%)
- England: 7+ corners: England: 7+ — 52¢ Kalshi $459 (weight 5%)
- Uruguay: 4+ corners: Uruguay: 4+ — 49¢ Kalshi $385 (weight 5%)
- Saudi Arabia: 5+ corners: Saudi Arabia: 5+ — 44¢ Kalshi $333 (weight 4%)
- Colombia: 4+ corners: Colombia: 4+ — 51¢ Kalshi $295 (weight 3%)
- ... and 12 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-06-26T02:20:49.256Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "32% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, June 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/wctcorners
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Brazil%3A%206%2B%20corners
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev