72% — What will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit in April 2026?: ↓ $160
Leader: ↓ 55,000 at 72% · Polymarket 72% · 6 contracts · $22K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-08-10 19:00:33 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 6 outcomes.

Contracts:
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 55,000 — 72¢ Polymarket $6K (weight 25%)
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 50,000 — 53¢ Polymarket $5K (weight 23%)
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 45,000 — 40¢ Polymarket $7K (weight 30%)
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 40,000 — 30¢ Polymarket $2K (weight 11%)
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 35,000 — 18¢ Polymarket $2K (weight 8%)
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 110,000 — 13¢ Polymarket $448 (weight 2%)

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-06-18T05:20:21.689Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "72% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, August 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/what-coinbase-global-inc-coin-hit-april
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=What%20will%20Coinbase%20Global%2C%20Inc.%20(COIN)%20hit%20in%20April%202026%3F%3A%20%E2%86%93%20%24160
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev