52% — What will the median home value in Miami be on April 30?: 1.32 - 1.355m
Kalshi 64% · Polymarket 23% · 10 contracts · $100K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 04:22:19 UTC

Cross-venue gap: 41pp (Kalshi higher)

Contracts:
- What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections?: Virginia — 8¢ Kalshi $70K (weight 70%)
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?: ↓ 1,000 — 16¢ Polymarket $13K (weight 13%)
- Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?: Yes — 23¢ Kalshi $9K (weight 9%)
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?: ↓ 1,500 — 41¢ Polymarket $8K (weight 8%)
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?: ↑ 5,500 — 11¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- What will the median be in the Fed's Jun 17, 2026 dot plot?: Above 3.4% — 74¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- What will the median be in the Fed's Jun 17, 2026 dot plot?: Above 3.5% — 63¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- What will the median be in the Fed's Jun 17, 2026 dot plot?: Above 3.0% — 95¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- ... and 2 more

Cite as: "52% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/what-median-home-value-miami-april-30
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=What%20will%20the%20median%20home%20value%20in%20Miami%20be%20on%20April%2030%3F%3A%201.32%20-%201.355m
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev