31% — What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in April 2026?: ↑ $228
Polymarket 31% · 17 contracts · $58K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-06-19 09:55:23 UTC

Contracts:
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 100,000 — 16¢ Polymarket $16K (weight 27%)
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?: ↓ 1,000 — 25¢ Polymarket $10K (weight 18%)
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 45,000 — 40¢ Polymarket $7K (weight 12%)
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 55,000 — 72¢ Polymarket $6K (weight 10%)
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 50,000 — 53¢ Polymarket $5K (weight 9%)
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 90,000 — 28¢ Polymarket $3K (weight 5%)
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 40,000 — 30¢ Polymarket $2K (weight 4%)
- What price will Solana hit in 2026?: ↓ 60 — 72¢ Polymarket $2K (weight 3%)
- ... and 9 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-06-18T05:20:21.689Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "31% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, June 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/what-nvidia-nvda-hit-april
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=What%20will%20NVIDIA%20(NVDA)%20hit%20in%20April%202026%3F%3A%20%E2%86%91%20%24228
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev