81% — What price will Hyperliquid hit in April?: ↑ 52 Leader: ↑ 80 at 81% · Polymarket 81% · 12 contracts · $47K volume · medium confidence Updated 2026-06-17 19:14:20 UTC Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 12 outcomes. Why this matters: The 75% probability indicates that traders currently believe Hyperliquid has a three-in-four chance of reaching $52 or higher in April 2026. This assessment reflects optimism about the platform's growth trajectory, though significant uncertainty remains about exchange adoption rates and token supply dynamics. The primary drivers of this probability are Hyperliquid's current market position relative to its April price target and broader crypto market conditions. Resolution will depend on actual trading volume, competitive pressures from other decentralized exchanges, and macroeconomic factors affecting cryptocurrency valuations. The gap between the leading probability (75%) and runner-up (69%) suggests modest consensus, with disagreement centered on execution risk and market timing rather than fundamental viability. Key factors: - Current Hyperliquid token price and distance to $52 April target, accounting for typical crypto volatility and time decay over 10 months - Total value locked (TVL) and trading volume trends on Hyperliquid relative to competing decentralized derivatives platforms - Scheduled product launches, regulatory developments, or competitive announcements between now and April 2026 that could shift exchange adoption - Broader Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements, since altcoin valuations typically correlate with major asset performance - Token supply issuance schedule and any planned unlocks that could create selling pressure before April Contracts: - What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↑ 80 — 81¢ Polymarket $8K (weight 17%) - What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?: ↓ 1,500 — 71¢ Polymarket $2K (weight 5%) - What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 55,000 — 67¢ Polymarket $6K (weight 14%) - What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 50,000 — 52¢ Polymarket $8K (weight 17%) - What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↑ 100 — 48¢ Polymarket $3K (weight 6%) - What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 45,000 — 39¢ Polymarket $10K (weight 21%) - What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 40,000 — 30¢ Polymarket $5K (weight 10%) - What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 35,000 — 19¢ Polymarket $2K (weight 5%) - ... and 4 more --- ## Methodology SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours. ## SF Signal - SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration. - No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only. --- *Last verified: 2026-06-17T18:20:18.387Z* By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/ Cite as: "81% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, June 2026)" Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/what-price-hyperliquid-hit-april Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=What%20price%20will%20Hyperliquid%20hit%20in%20April%3F%3A%20%E2%86%91%2052 Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev