39% — What Trump-named things will Trump mention in April
Polymarket 52% · Kalshi 34% · 17 contracts · $3K volume · low confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 16:40:20 UTC

Cross-venue gap: 18pp (Polymarket higher)

Contracts:
- What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here with Bernie Sanders in Detroit?: Trump (3+ times) — 94¢ Kalshi $942 (weight 12%)
- What will happen before GTA VI?: Trump out as President  — 52¢ Polymarket $530 (weight 11%)
- What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?: Not nine justices — 7¢ Kalshi $464 (weight 11%)
- What will Kathy Hochul say during next Governor Kathy Hochul announcement?: Trump — 4¢ Kalshi $315 (weight 10%)
- What will Zohran Mamdani say during next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?: Trump / President — 60¢ Kalshi $295 (weight 10%)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration?: At least 5000 — 31¢ Kalshi $235 (weight 10%)
- What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?: 6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals — 72¢ Kalshi $166 (weight 9%)
- What will Drake say during Iceman?: Trump — 6¢ Kalshi $67 (weight 8%)
- ... and 9 more

Cite as: "39% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/what-trumpnamed-things-trump-mention-april
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=What%20Trump-named%20things%20will%20Trump%20mention%20in%20April
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev