14% — Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026
Polymarket 15% · 10 contracts · $689 volume · low confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 16:46:09 UTC

Why this matters:
The market is pricing an 86% probability that Maxx Crosby will remain with the Las Vegas Raiders in 2026, while alternative outcomes like Detroit (5%) or Tennessee (9%) trade at significantly lower prices. This reflects the base case that Crosby stays put, though his contract status and any team restructuring could alter this outcome. The main factors moving this probability would be trade rumors, contract negotiations, or unexpected roster changes by Las Vegas. Resolution depends on official NFL roster announcements or trades, which occur primarily during offseason windows and free agency periods. Near-term catalysts include any public statements from Raiders management about retention plans or sudden trade activity involving defensive players.

Key factors:
- Crosby's existing contract with Las Vegas and any active contract discussions or holdouts
- Raiders' stated priority regarding defensive retention and organizational stability heading into 2026
- Trade activity or salary cap movements involving Crosby or comparable edge rushers around the NFL
- Injury status or performance-related factors that could influence team or player decisions
- Public reporting or official statements from Raiders organization regarding long-term defensive plans

Contracts:
- Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026?: Green Bay Packers — 4¢ Polymarket $120 (weight 12%)
- Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026?: Philadelphia Eagles — 11¢ Polymarket $118 (weight 12%)
- Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026?: Tennessee Titans — 9¢ Polymarket $87 (weight 11%)
- Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026?: Las Vegas Raiders — 86¢ Polymarket $64 (weight 10%)
- Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026?: Cincinnati Bengals — 6¢ Polymarket $63 (weight 10%)
- Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026?: Seattle Seahawks — 3¢ Polymarket $57 (weight 10%)
- Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026?: San Francisco 49ers — 4¢ Polymarket $57 (weight 10%)
- Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026?: New England Patriots — 3¢ Polymarket $57 (weight 10%)
- ... and 2 more

Cite as: "14% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/where-maxx-crosby-play
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Where%20will%20Maxx%20Crosby%20play%20in%202026
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev