35% — Which banks will fail by June 30
Leader: BMO at 35% · Polymarket 35% · 5 contracts · $569 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 05:54:17 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 5 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Which banks will fail by June 30?: BMO — 35¢ Polymarket $549 (weight 96%)
- Which banks will fail by June 30?: Lloyds — 3¢ Polymarket $20 (weight 4%)
- Which banks will fail by June 30?: KeyBank — 3¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- Which banks will fail by June 30?: RBC — 3¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- Which banks will fail by June 30?: BNY — 3¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)

Cite as: "35% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/which-banks-fail-june-30
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Which%20banks%20will%20fail%20by%20June%2030
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev