22% — Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General
Polymarket 22% · 4 contracts · $2K volume · low confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 14:57:55 UTC

Why this matters:
This reflects market participants' assessment of which candidate is most likely to be nominated as Attorney General in a Trump administration. Todd Blanche commands the highest contract price at 64 cents, indicating roughly 64% implied probability among Kalshi traders, while other candidates like Ron DeSantis, Lee Zeldin, and Jeanine Pirro trade at substantially lower prices. The probability hinges on Trump's selection criteria, which typically emphasize loyalty, legal acumen, and alignment with his policy agenda. Key factors influencing the market include candidates' current roles, public statements by Trump regarding potential nominees, media reporting on his vetting process, and any formal announcements. The resolution point would be Trump's official announcement or nomination of an Attorney General, which would occur either following an election victory or during transition planning.

Key factors:
- Todd Blanche's current role as Trump's lawyer and public visibility in legal matters compared to other candidates' profiles
- Volume and price stability on Kalshi contracts indicate trader confidence levels, with Blanche's contract showing significantly higher 24-hour volume ($16,133) than competitors
- Public reporting or statements from Trump regarding Attorney General preferences and the timeline for such announcements
- Changes in other candidates' availability or prominence—such as electoral or appointment outcomes for Zeldin or DeSantis
- Formal announcement by Trump of his Attorney General selection, which would fully resolve the contract

Contracts:
- Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?: Todd Blanche — 25¢ Polymarket $851 (weight 27%)
- Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?: Ron DeSantis — 3¢ Polymarket $649 (weight 26%)
- Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?: Lee Zeldin — 11¢ Polymarket $321 (weight 23%)
- Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?: No Announcement by June 30 — 50¢ Polymarket $293 (weight 23%)

Cite as: "22% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/who-trump-announce-as-next-attorney-general
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20Trump%20announce%20as%20next%20Attorney%20General
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev